America's Midterm Elections - by Wei Jingsheng
The just-concluded midterm elections in the US have aroused great concern, in a degree even more than the presidential election.Just the campaign contributions alone have reached more than four billion U.S.dollars, exceeding the previous presidential election.Why is there such a concern for these midterm elections?The following several reasons are very important.The most important is the economy.Not to say that Americans are only concerned about the economy, but the current economic problems are indeed extraordinary: the economy has been in decline these years and is still unable to recover from the recession, while the unemployment rate remains very high at about 10%. In daily life, one can feel the impact of the economic downturn. The price of goods has gone down; people do not dare to buy things, do not dare to spend money, and even usually lively tourist areas and shops have become deserted. This situation makes ordinary people care about politics, wondering how the politicians actually put a strong and prosperous America into such a bad shape.
For the past decade, people have seen among the biggest economic problems in the USA is that unfair foreign trade has taken away a lot of people's jobs; mainly that poor and low quality products from China have gradually eliminated the U.S. manufacturing jobs. Large companies earn excess profits from the exploitation of Chinese workers, and the gap between the rich and poor in the US has rapidly expanded. While American workers gradually lost their jobs, the wealth gap widened further. The consequences of the expansion of the foreign trade deficit are the developing of poverty in the American society year after year. Simply put, the U.S. economy made no progress, but went backwards. People's pockets have less and less money due to the operational errors of the politicians.
Ten years ago, people already sensed the problem. In the debate regarding giving China permanent MFN status (also called PNTR: Permanent Normal Trade Relations), 70% of Americans said "no" to China. That was because the Chinese government would not give the U.S. the same treatment at the same time. A lack of balance would result in trade imbalances and damage to the U.S. economy. But, the U.S. politicians under the control of the money from large enterprises passed the resolution under President Clinton, which put the United States at the disadvantage of an unfair trade relationship.
In the past 10 years, the negative consequences from such unfair trade relations have become not only more and more obvious, but also beyond expectations. Not only has it resulted in U.S. jobs flowing away, it also induced the gradual impoverishment of the American society. The wealth got more and more concentrated into the minority rich, while the politics also leaned in favor of these rich. In an macroscopic view, as the trade deficit between the U.S. and China grew bigger and bigger, the rich were getting richer in both countries, while the poor were getting poorer in both countries. For the capitalists of both countries, China is their economic miracle. For the poor and middle class in both countries, the "Chinese model" is their disaster.
As the ordinary people gradually came to realize this problem, voters under democratic politics began to pay attention. The reason that the little-known Barack Obama was elected as the president two years ago was due to an important slogan: change. "Change" of what? That was to reform American politics, to turn it back on the right track of what people hoped for, with a focus on the U.S. interests. Or to say to let the balance of politics lean in favor of ordinary Americans, instead of a few rich men.
In order to create the best conditions for the Obama administration, voters not only gave the Democrats the power of the presidency, but also the control of the Senate and House. The Democrats' power was getting close to the power of a Roman dictator. But they let everyone down. In the past two years, the situation has not improved, but continues to deteriorate rapidly.
The Chinese people may only notice that the Obama administration said publicly that it will no longer care about human rights in China, as well as making concessions to the Chinese government on everything. The Obama administration is so soft to the Chinese government that it almost behaves like a little brother to China. Yet, in return, Communist China became more and more hard-line, to the degree of the "father of the reigning emperor". But what the Americans noticed was mainly the economic problem, the issue that the large companies of the USA and China took away Americans' jobs and business, and the issues of the United States national interests and the interests of the people.
The lower and middle class who supported Obama to be elected as president two years ago have felt cheated that there was no essential change to the basic pattern of big businesses control in Washington politics which sacrifices the interests of the ordinary Americans. Most of the major policies enacted since President Obama took office were using taxpayers' money to do things beneficial to the big businesses. There are a bunch of bootlicking scholars who are repeatedly trying to expound that only by robbing the poor for the rich will the economy turn around. However, most people are not fools. They do not believe these scholars who take contributions from the rich to speak falsely, so they use their votes to express their views. They no longer believe in a one-party dominating politics. They want to have an opposition party to restrain the government.
Thus, the middle and lower class voters who elected Obama as the President not long ago, this time pulled more than sixty House Democrats off, far more than the thirty-nine seats that the Republicans needed to control the House of Representatives. Even nearly half of the voters were in favor of the informal Tea Party, thus directly influenced the election. This anger forced the politicians of the two parties to drive up the issue of China as a top issue before the election. They attacked each other as pro-Communist in Beijing in support of the wrong policy of making American workers lose their jobs. Even President Obama had to admit after the election that the failure of the midterm elections was because "we lost track of the ways that we connected with folks that got us here in the first place."
Whether Obama is trying to be re-elected president in two years or not, the midterm elections will for sure make his administration adjust its policy. First, of course, it has to be concerned about U.S. economic interests; to try to reduce the trade deficit, and increase job opportunities. It has to reduce the influence of money in politics; return to the essence of democracy. Also, it has to pull away from the honeymoon with the Chinese Communist government, and instead take tougher measures, including tough diplomatic measures, against the trade barriers of the Chinese Communist Party.
In fact, even before this midterm election, the Obama administration had already begun this adjustment. Economically, starting from the Chinese currency RMB exchange rate issue, it has extended policy deliberations to the trade barriers issue. On the diplomatic front, starting from the support of India against China, it has extended to support of Vietnam and Japan in the fight for maritime sovereignty against China. The purpose of maintaining such pressure is to force China to make concessions on economic problems. This policy is the largest U.S. national interest, as well as the biggest political interest of the Obama administration.
In the current situation, the most beneficial policy for China would be to seize the opportunity to gain its end. It could reduce both economic and diplomatic difficulties, as well as reduce the domestic inflation in China so that the plight of China's economic and political difficulties will ease. In fact, this path also would be beneficial for the Communist Party to remain in power. If it can begin a political precedent of focusing on public opinion, then it is even favorable to China's democratization process, and favorable to a peaceful evolution in China.
However, China's politics is not democracy, but a one party dictatorship relying on the big bourgeoisie. The Communist leadership does not want to give up the opportunity to exploit people, so it will not stop its policies designed to make American and Chinese capitalists to get rich. Therefore, we can expect that the economic and political confrontations between the US and China will tend to be more serious, along with more serious diplomatic crises. Meanwhile, the hard-liners within the CCP and the Chinese big bourgeoisie will continue to drag China to the abyss of the collapse.




